Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.000124 0.000137 0.000151 0.000167 0.000185 0.000205 0.000228
2025-07-13 0.000100 0.000119 0.000141 0.000168 0.000202 0.000241 0.000292
2025-07-20 0.000086 0.000108 0.000135 0.000171 0.000218 0.000277 0.000358
2025-07-27 0.000075 0.000098 0.000128 0.000170 0.000227 0.000303 0.000415
2025-08-03 0.000068 0.000093 0.000125 0.000173 0.000241 0.000336 0.000483
2025-08-10 0.000061 0.000085 0.000119 0.000170 0.000246 0.000358 0.000537
2025-08-17 0.000055 0.000080 0.000114 0.000169 0.000252 0.000380 0.000593
2025-08-24 0.000050 0.000074 0.000109 0.000165 0.000255 0.000397 0.000644
2025-08-31 0.000045 0.000068 0.000103 0.000160 0.000254 0.000407 0.000684
2025-09-07 0.000042 0.000065 0.000101 0.000160 0.000262 0.000432 0.000752
2025-09-14 0.000040 0.000063 0.000099 0.000163 0.000273 0.000464 0.000835
2025-09-21 0.000037 0.000060 0.000096 0.000160 0.000275 0.000480 0.000891
2025-09-28 0.000034 0.000055 0.000090 0.000153 0.000270 0.000484 0.000929
2025-10-05 0.000032 0.000053 0.000088 0.000154 0.000279 0.000515 0.001024
2025-10-12 0.000030 0.000051 0.000087 0.000156 0.000291 0.000554 0.001141
2025-10-19 0.000028 0.000049 0.000085 0.000155 0.000296 0.000579 0.001235
2025-10-26 0.000027 0.000047 0.000084 0.000157 0.000308 0.000621 0.001370
2025-11-02 0.000025 0.000045 0.000081 0.000155 0.000311 0.000643 0.001463
2025-11-09 0.000024 0.000043 0.000079 0.000154 0.000315 0.000668 0.001567
2025-11-16 0.000022 0.000041 0.000076 0.000151 0.000315 0.000685 0.001655
2025-11-23 0.000021 0.000038 0.000073 0.000146 0.000311 0.000691 0.001717
2025-11-30 0.000020 0.000037 0.000071 0.000146 0.000319 0.000724 0.001854
2025-12-07 0.000019 0.000036 0.000071 0.000148 0.000330 0.000770 0.002034